对西方世界来说,如何摆脱创新系统性衰退的困境?如何应对经济下滑、民众幸福感下降的长期形势?
对中国来说,如何挖掘创新更深层的潜力?企业如何利用人工智能等前沿科技去应对变局?经济增长、国家繁荣的动力是否存在另一种可能?
诺奖得主埃德蒙·费尔普斯提出,一切的答案在于社会活力。
费尔普斯力主,大多数创新是由千百万普通人共同推动的,“如果人类拥有如此非凡的天赋,那么整个社会只要有意愿,就有可能建立起一个允许和鼓励新想法产生的经济,从而推动创新和经济增长”。
他在其前作《大繁荣》中肯定了大众创新的重大意义,与中国“大众创业,万众创新”的倡导不谋而合。这次,费尔普斯联合几位经济学家,聚焦创新在经济可持续增长中的核心地位,进一步深入阐释大众观念如何营造积极工作氛围、推动经济增长,最终推动国家繁荣等重大议题。
他们在这本书中用现代经济学严谨的分析方法检验文化、价值观、企业家精神对创新的重要作用,把个人的价值观、热情、欲望、能力、创造性重新拉回到经济增长研究的聚光灯下。在前两部分中,他们从数据中提取了关于自主创新的时间序列,接着对价值观与创新之间关系的论点进行了检验,发现了哪些价值观对社会有正向推动。在第三部分,他们考察了机器人对创新和工资的影响。
《活力》将阐明活力社会和国家繁荣的联系,更为中国如何落实新发展理念、实现充满活力的高质量发展提供了许多值得深思的问题和可以借鉴的经验,对中国经济增长的政策制定无疑有巨大的借鉴意义,对中国的科技创新政策制定也有重大启示。
Nobel Laureate Edmund Phelps and an international group of economists argue that economic health depends on the widespread presence of certain values, in particular individualism and self-expression.
Nobel Laureate Edmund Phelps has long argued that the high level of innovation in the lead nations of the West was never a result of scientific discoveries plus entrepreneurship, as Schumpeter thought. Rather, modern values–particularly the individualism, vitalism, and self-expression prevailing among the people–fueled the dynamism needed for widespread, indigenous innovation. Yet finding links between nations’ values and their dynamism was a daunting task. Now, in Dynamism, Phelps and a trio of coauthors take it on.
Phelps, Raicho Bojilov, Hian Teck Hoon, and Gylfi Zoega find evidence that differences in nations’ values matter–and quite a lot. It is no accident that the most innovative countries in the West were rich in values fueling dynamism. Nor is it an accident that economic dynamism in the United States, Britain, and France has suffered as state-centered and communitarian values have moved to the fore.
The authors lay out their argument in three parts. In the first two, they extract from productivity data time series on indigenous innovation, then test the thesis on the link between values and innovation to find which values are positively and which are negatively linked. In the third part, they consider the effects of robots on innovation and wages, arguing that, even though many workers may be replaced rather than helped by robots, the long-term effects may be better than we have feared. Itself a significant display of creativity and innovation, Dynamism will stand as a key statement of the cultural preconditions for a healthy society and rewarding work.
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