逻辑思维 – Mindware: Tools for Smart Thinking by Richard E. Nisbett

我们用自己推导出的结论界定事物和他人，却不知其中的逻辑常常存在缺陷，以至错误的结论带来负面效果与损失。科学和哲学概念可以帮助我们更有效地思考自己的行为和这个世界，从而改变我们解决问题的方式。可惜的是，这其中的许多思维方式并不为人所知，浪费了它们的功效。

本书中，知名心理学家理查德•尼斯贝特向我们清晰地展现了这些思维工具的全貌。尼斯贝特具有无与伦比的学术生涯，他学习和教授这些高效有力的解决问题的概念工具，例如大数定律、统计回归、成本－收益分析、沉没成本和机会成本、因果关系和相关性，他不断探索着上佳方法，以教给人们如何在日常生活中有效地应用合理的逻辑思维。在这本开创性的书中，尼斯贝特引导我们如何用科学和统计的原则拆解日常问题。这是一部充满启发性和实践价值的指南，带给我们实际有效的思维工具，帮助我们在专业、商业和个人决策当中精确判断，获得先机。

Learn how to think more effectively, at work and at home.

Many scientific and philosophical ideas are so powerful that they can be applied to our lives at home and work and school to help us think smarter and more effectively about our behaviour and the world around us. Surprisingly, many of these ideas remain unknown to most of us.

In Mindware, the world-renowned psychologist Richard Nisbett presents these ideas in clear and accessible detail, offering a tool kit for better thinking and wiser decisions. He has made a distinguished career of studying and teaching such powerful problem-solving concepts as the law of large numbers, statistical regression, cost-benefit analysis, sunk costs and opportunity costs, and causation and correlation, probing how best to teach others to use them effectively in their daily lives.

In this groundbreaking book, he shows that a course in a given field–statistics or economics, for example–often doesn’t work as well as a few minutes of more practical instruction in analyzing everyday situations. Mindware shows how to reframe common problems in such a way that these powerful scientific and statistical concepts can be applied to them. The result is an enlightening and practical guide to the most powerful tools of reasoning ever developed–tools that can easily be used to make better professional, business and personal decisions. 

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